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Record #196279:
- #196279
Main publication details
MARC recordКраткосрочное пространственно-временное прогнозирование сухих и мокрых лавин
| Title: | Краткосрочное пространственно-временное прогнозирование сухих и мокрых лавин |
| Title, transliterated: | Kratkosrochnoe prostranstvenno-vremennoe prognozirovanie sukhikh i mokrykh lavin / I︠U︡.B. Andreev, and 4 others. |
| Translated title: | Short-term spatial-temporal forecasting of dry and wet avalanches. |
| Author(s): | Andreev, I︠U︡. B. |
| Date: | 2011. |
| Language: | Russian. |
| In: | Led i Sneg. (2011.), Vol. 1(113) (2011) |
| Abstract: | Examines spatial-temporal short-term forecast/diagnosis of dry and wet snow avalanches, based on combining existing special discriminate analogue-macrophysical model of short-term background forecast with probabilistic zoning of avalanche sites. Constructs linear regressions of run-out distance zone probability and corresponding forecast function values, using field data (temperature, snow depth, precipitation) from avalanche sites "Domestic" (El'brus) and No. 22 (Khibiny) in 2000-03 and 1934-97, respectively. Correlation coefficients for both are around -0.8. Discusses statistical significance, concluding that forecast for dry and wet snow avalanche release is possible in concrete situations, using current and predicted meteorological data. Discusses method's expansion with maps of large-scale probabilistic zoning, based on mathematical and physical modelling and field data. |
| Notes: | Led i Sneg. Vol. 1(113) :64-68 (2011). English summary and captions. |
| Keywords: | 551.32 -- Glaciology. 551.578.48 -- Avalanches. 551.578.483 -- Avalanches, forecasting. 551.506 -- Meteorological data. 536 -- Heat. 551.578.42 -- Snow surveys. 551.578.481 -- Avalanches, types. 519.673 -- Modelling. 519.2 -- Statistical methods. E10 -- Glaciology: snow and avalanches. (*501) -- Russia (Federation). (*531.9) -- Murmanskaya Oblast'. |
| SPRI record no.: | 196279 |
LDR 02714naa#a2200000#a#4500 001 SPRI-196279 005 20240416053025.0 007 ta 008 240416s2011####xx#ab#|##|s##|0||#0|rus#d 035 ## ‡aSPRI-196279 040 ## ‡aUkCU-P‡beng‡eaacr 041 0# ‡arus 100 1# ‡6880-01‡aAndreev, I︠U︡. B. 242 10 ‡aShort-term spatial-temporal forecasting of dry and wet avalanches.‡yeng 245 10 ‡6880-02‡aKratkosrochnoe prostranstvenno-vremennoe prognozirovanie sukhikh i mokrykh lavin /‡cI︠U︡.B. Andreev, and 4 others. 260 ## ‡a[S.l.] :‡b[s.n.],‡c2011. 300 ## ‡ap. 64-68 :‡bill.(some col.), diags., table, maps. 500 ## ‡aLed i Sneg. Vol. 1(113) :64-68 (2011). 500 ## ‡aEnglish summary and captions. 520 3# ‡aExamines spatial-temporal short-term forecast/diagnosis of dry and wet snow avalanches, based on combining existing special discriminate analogue-macrophysical model of short-term background forecast with probabilistic zoning of avalanche sites. Constructs linear regressions of run-out distance zone probability and corresponding forecast function values, using field data (temperature, snow depth, precipitation) from avalanche sites "Domestic" (El'brus) and No. 22 (Khibiny) in 2000-03 and 1934-97, respectively. Correlation coefficients for both are around -0.8. Discusses statistical significance, concluding that forecast for dry and wet snow avalanche release is possible in concrete situations, using current and predicted meteorological data. Discusses method's expansion with maps of large-scale probabilistic zoning, based on mathematical and physical modelling and field data. 546 ## ‡aIn Russian. 546 ## ‡aRussian transliteration entered into original records using BGN/PCGN 1947 romanisation of Russian; Cyrillic text in MARC 880 field(s) reverse transliterated from this by automated process; BGN/PCGN 1947 text then upgraded to Library of Congress romanisation. 650 07 ‡a551.32 -- Glaciology.‡2udc 650 07 ‡a551.578.48 -- Avalanches.‡2udc 650 07 ‡a551.578.483 -- Avalanches, forecasting.‡2udc 650 07 ‡a551.506 -- Meteorological data.‡2udc 650 07 ‡a536 -- Heat.‡2udc 650 07 ‡a551.578.42 -- Snow surveys.‡2udc 650 07 ‡a551.578.481 -- Avalanches, types.‡2udc 650 07 ‡a519.673 -- Modelling.‡2udc 650 07 ‡a519.2 -- Statistical methods.‡2udc 650 07 ‡aE10 -- Glaciology: snow and avalanches.‡2local 651 #7 ‡a(*501) -- Russia (Federation).‡2udc 651 #7 ‡a(*531.9) -- Murmanskaya Oblast'.‡2udc 773 0# ‡6880-03‡7nnas ‡tLed i Sneg. ‡gVol. 1(113) (2011) ‡wSPRI-191013 880 1# ‡6100-01/(N‡aАндреев, Ю. Б. 880 10 ‡6245-02/(N‡aКраткосрочное пространственно-временное прогнозирование сухих и мокрых лавин /‡cЮ.Б. Андреев, and 4 others. 880 0# ‡6773-03/(N‡7nnas ‡tЛед и Снег. ‡gVol. 1(113) (2011) ‡wSPRI-191013 916 ## ‡a2011/05/19 917 ## ‡aUnenhanced record from Muscat, imported 2019 948 3# ‡a20240416