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Record #191572:

Актуальные аспекты моделирования и прогноза термического состояния криолитозоны в условиях меняющегося климата

Title: Актуальные аспекты моделирования и прогноза термического состояния криолитозоны в условиях меняющегося климата
Title, transliterated: Aktualʹnye aspekty modelirovanii︠a︡ i prognoza termicheskogo sostoi︠a︡nii︠a︡ kriolitozony v uslovii︠a︡kh meni︠a︡i︠u︡shchegosi︠a︡ klimata / A.V. Pavlov, G.Z. Perlstein, G.S. Tipenko.
Translated title: Actual aspects of modelling and prediction of the permafrost thermal state under climate change conditions.
Author(s): Pavlov, A. V.
Perlstein, G. Z.
Tipenko, G. S.
Date: 2010.
Language: Russian.
In: Kriosfera Zemli. (2010.), Vol. 14(1) (2010)
Abstract: Noting variation between estimates of permafrost response to climate change, advocates taking account of whole set of basic climatic regional characteristics in addition to air temperature. Presents numerical modelling showing permafrost to be much more resistant to global warming than hitherto accepted. In Yakutsk, at high rate of warming (0.08°C/year), mean annual temperature of ground surface becomes positive only after 50 years. More moderate scenario sees frozen ground temperature rise only 0.5°C by 2050. Shows that air-ground temperature difference depends on climate type and may change widely in course of general warming. Suggests model verification methods appropriate where initial information is incomplete. Identifies need for new models of ground freezing-thawing that combine stochastic and deterministic methods.
Notes:

Kriosfera Zemli. Vol. 14(1) :3-12 (2010).

Keywords: 551.34 -- Geocryology. Frozen ground.
551.345 -- Permafrost. Cryopedology.
551.58 -- Climatology.
551.345.1 -- Permafrost, surveys.
551.345.2 -- Permafrost, formation and decay.
551.583 -- Climatic changes.
551.524 -- Air temperature.
519.673 -- Modelling.
E8 -- Glaciology: frost action and permafrost.
(*501) -- Russia (Federation).
(*531.3) -- Yakutiya. Respublika Sakha.
SPRI record no.: 191572

MARCXML

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005 20221002013432.0
007 ta
008 221002s2010####xx#a##|##|###|0||#0|rus#d
035 ## ‡aSPRI-191572
040 ## ‡aUkCU-P‡beng‡eaacr
041 0# ‡arus
100 1# ‡6880-01‡aPavlov, A. V.
242 10 ‡aActual aspects of modelling and prediction of the permafrost thermal state under climate change conditions.‡yeng
245 10 ‡6880-02‡aAktualʹnye aspekty modelirovanii︠a︡ i prognoza termicheskogo sostoi︠a︡nii︠a︡ kriolitozony v uslovii︠a︡kh meni︠a︡i︠u︡shchegosi︠a︡ klimata /‡cA.V. Pavlov, G.Z. Perlstein, G.S. Tipenko.
260 ## ‡a[S.l.] :‡b[s.n.],‡c2010.
300 ## ‡ap. 3-12 :‡bill., diags., tables.
500 ## ‡aKriosfera Zemli. Vol. 14(1) :3-12 (2010).
520 3# ‡aNoting variation between estimates of permafrost response to climate change, advocates taking account of whole set of basic climatic regional characteristics in addition to air temperature. Presents numerical modelling showing permafrost to be much more resistant to global warming than hitherto accepted. In Yakutsk, at high rate of warming (0.08°C/year), mean annual temperature of ground surface becomes positive only after 50 years. More moderate scenario sees frozen ground temperature rise only 0.5°C by 2050. Shows that air-ground temperature difference depends on climate type and may change widely in course of general warming. Suggests model verification methods appropriate where initial information is incomplete. Identifies need for new models of ground freezing-thawing that combine stochastic and deterministic methods.
546 ## ‡aIn Russian.
546 ## ‡aRussian transliteration entered into original records using BGN/PCGN 1947 romanisation of Russian; Cyrillic text in MARC 880 field(s) reverse transliterated from this by automated process; BGN/PCGN 1947 text then upgraded to Library of Congress romanisation.
650 07 ‡a551.34 -- Geocryology. Frozen ground.‡2udc
650 07 ‡a551.345 -- Permafrost. Cryopedology.‡2udc
650 07 ‡a551.58 -- Climatology.‡2udc
650 07 ‡a551.345.1 -- Permafrost, surveys.‡2udc
650 07 ‡a551.345.2 -- Permafrost, formation and decay.‡2udc
650 07 ‡a551.583 -- Climatic changes.‡2udc
650 07 ‡a551.524 -- Air temperature.‡2udc
650 07 ‡a519.673 -- Modelling.‡2udc
650 07 ‡aE8 -- Glaciology: frost action and permafrost.‡2local
651 #7 ‡a(*501) -- Russia (Federation).‡2udc
651 #7 ‡a(*531.3) -- Yakutiya. Respublika Sakha.‡2udc
700 1# ‡6880-03‡aPerlstein, G. Z.
700 1# ‡6880-04‡aTipenko, G. S.
773 0# ‡6880-05‡7nnas ‡tKriosfera Zemli. ‡gVol. 14(1) (2010) ‡wSPRI-145770
880 1# ‡6100-01/(N‡aПавлов, А. В.
880 10 ‡6245-02/(N‡aАктуальные аспекты моделирования и прогноза термического состояния криолитозоны в условиях меняющегося климата /‡cА.В. Павлов, Г.З. Перлстеин, Г.С. Типенко.
880 1# ‡6700-03/(N‡aПерлстеин, Г. З.
880 1# ‡6700-04/(N‡aТипенко, Г. С.
880 0# ‡6773-05/(N‡7nnas ‡tКриосфера Земли. ‡gVol. 14(1) (2010) ‡wSPRI-145770
916 ## ‡a2010/08/17 -- RF
917 ## ‡aUnenhanced record from Muscat, imported 2019
948 3# ‡a20221002 ‡bRF