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Record #191545:
Вероятностная оценка возможной эволюции оледенения и стока Кыргызстана при прогнозируемых климатических изменениях
Title: | Вероятностная оценка возможной эволюции оледенения и стока Кыргызстана при прогнозируемых климатических изменениях |
Title, transliterated: | Veroi︠a︡tnostnai︠a︡ ot︠s︡enka vozmozhnoĭ ėvoli︠u︡t︠s︡ii oledenenii︠a︡ i stoka Kyrgyzstana pri prognoziruemykh klimaticheskikh izmenenii︠a︡kh / V.A. Kuzʹmichyonok. |
Translated title: | Probablistic assessment of possible changes of glaciers and runoff in Kyrgyzstan at the projected climatic changes. |
Author(s): | Kuzʹmichyonok, V. A. |
Date: | 2009. |
Language: | Russian. |
In: | Materialy Gli︠a︡t︠s︡iologicheskikh Issledovaniĭ. (2009.), Vol. 107 (2009) |
Abstract: | Uses probabilistic analysis of air temperature and precipitation change forecasts to year 2010 (based on intergovernmental panel climate change scenarios) to establish dependences on latitude, longitude and altitude. Forecasts changes for given points within territory of Kyrgyzstan and assesses possible evolution of glaciation, based on model developed specifically for each glacier appearing in Glacier Inventory of USSR. Summarises results for Kyrgyzstan as whole and for main hydrological basins. Maps likely changes in glacier distribution for 2050. Forecasts that annual water loss from glaciers will peak around 2020, with considerable decrease in water flow from glacier runoff by 2100. |
Notes: | Materialy Gli︠a︡t︠s︡iologicheskikh Issledovaniĭ. Vol. 107 :10-24 (2009). English summary and figure captions. |
Keywords: | 551.58 -- Climatology. 551.32 -- Glaciology. 551.324.22 -- Glaciers. 551.324.63 -- Land ice, advance and retreat. 551.324.43 -- Land ice, regime and mass balance. 551.509 -- Weather forecasts. 551.524 -- Air temperature. 551.577 -- Precipitation. 551.324.431 -- Land ice, accumulation. 551.324.433 -- Land ice, ablation and calving. 551.579.3 -- Water supply from glaciers. 519.2 -- Statistical methods. 519.673 -- Modelling. E5 -- Glaciology: land ice. (*533) -- Kazakhstan. Kyrgyzstan. Tajikistan. Turkmenistan. Uzbekistan. (235.21) -- Hindu Kush and Tien Shan. |
SPRI record no.: | 191545 |
LDR 03025naa#a2200000#a#4500 001 SPRI-191545 005 20231202095956.0 007 ta 008 231202s2009####xx#ab#|##|s##|0||#0|rus#d 035 ## ‡aSPRI-191545 040 ## ‡aUkCU-P‡beng‡eaacr 041 0# ‡arus 100 1# ‡6880-01‡aKuzʹmichyonok, V. A. 242 10 ‡aProbablistic assessment of possible changes of glaciers and runoff in Kyrgyzstan at the projected climatic changes.‡yeng 245 10 ‡6880-02‡aVeroi︠a︡tnostnai︠a︡ ot︠s︡enka vozmozhnoĭ ėvoli︠u︡t︠s︡ii oledenenii︠a︡ i stoka Kyrgyzstana pri prognoziruemykh klimaticheskikh izmenenii︠a︡kh /‡cV.A. Kuzʹmichyonok. 260 ## ‡a[S.l.] :‡b[s.n.],‡c2009. 300 ## ‡ap. 10-24 :‡bill., diags., tables, maps. 500 ## ‡aMaterialy Gli︠a︡t︠s︡iologicheskikh Issledovaniĭ. Vol. 107 :10-24 (2009). 500 ## ‡aEnglish summary and figure captions. 520 3# ‡aUses probabilistic analysis of air temperature and precipitation change forecasts to year 2010 (based on intergovernmental panel climate change scenarios) to establish dependences on latitude, longitude and altitude. Forecasts changes for given points within territory of Kyrgyzstan and assesses possible evolution of glaciation, based on model developed specifically for each glacier appearing in Glacier Inventory of USSR. Summarises results for Kyrgyzstan as whole and for main hydrological basins. Maps likely changes in glacier distribution for 2050. Forecasts that annual water loss from glaciers will peak around 2020, with considerable decrease in water flow from glacier runoff by 2100. 546 ## ‡aIn Russian. 546 ## ‡aRussian transliteration entered into original records using BGN/PCGN 1947 romanisation of Russian; Cyrillic text in MARC 880 field(s) reverse transliterated from this by automated process; BGN/PCGN 1947 text then upgraded to Library of Congress romanisation. 650 07 ‡a551.58 -- Climatology.‡2udc 650 07 ‡a551.32 -- Glaciology.‡2udc 650 07 ‡a551.324.22 -- Glaciers.‡2udc 650 07 ‡a551.324.63 -- Land ice, advance and retreat.‡2udc 650 07 ‡a551.324.43 -- Land ice, regime and mass balance.‡2udc 650 07 ‡a551.509 -- Weather forecasts.‡2udc 650 07 ‡a551.524 -- Air temperature.‡2udc 650 07 ‡a551.577 -- Precipitation.‡2udc 650 07 ‡a551.324.431 -- Land ice, accumulation.‡2udc 650 07 ‡a551.324.433 -- Land ice, ablation and calving.‡2udc 650 07 ‡a551.579.3 -- Water supply from glaciers.‡2udc 650 07 ‡a519.2 -- Statistical methods.‡2udc 650 07 ‡a519.673 -- Modelling.‡2udc 650 07 ‡aE5 -- Glaciology: land ice.‡2local 651 #7 ‡a(*533) -- Kazakhstan. Kyrgyzstan. Tajikistan. Turkmenistan. Uzbekistan.‡2udc 651 #7 ‡a(235.21) -- Hindu Kush and Tien Shan.‡2udc 773 0# ‡6880-03‡7nnas ‡tMaterialy Gli︠a︡t︠s︡iologicheskikh Issledovaniĭ. ‡gVol. 107 (2009) ‡wSPRI-33585 880 1# ‡6100-01/(N‡aКузьмичыонок, В. А. 880 10 ‡6245-02/(N‡aВероятностная оценка возможной эволюции оледенения и стока Кыргызстана при прогнозируемых климатических изменениях /‡cВ.А. Кузьмичыонок. 880 0# ‡6773-03/(N‡7nnas ‡tМатериалы Гляциологических Исследований. ‡gVol. 107 (2009) ‡wSPRI-33585 916 ## ‡a2010/08/17 -- RF 917 ## ‡aUnenhanced record from Muscat, imported 2019 948 3# ‡a20231202 ‡bRF