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Record #191541:

Исследование эффективности ансамблебых долгосрочных прогнозов весеннего половодья основанных на физико-математических моделях формирования речного стока

Title: Исследование эффективности ансамблебых долгосрочных прогнозов весеннего половодья основанных на физико-математических моделях формирования речного стока
Title, transliterated: Issledovanie ėffektivnosti ansamblebykh dolgosrochnykh prognozov vesennego polovodʹi︠a︡ osnovannykh na fiziko-matematicheskikh modeli︠a︡kh formirovanii︠a︡ rechnogo stoka / L.S. Kuchment, A.N. Gelʹfan.
Translated title: A study of effectiveness of the ensemble long-term forecasts of spring floods issued with physically based models of the river runoff formation.
Author(s): Kuchment, L. S.
Gelʹfan, A. N.
Date: 2009.
Language: Russian.
In: Meteorologii︠a︡ i Gidrologii︠a︡. (2009.), Vol. 2 (2009)
Abstract: Examines use of physical-mathematical model of runoff formation to increase effectiveness and assess uncertainty of long-term ensemble spring flood forecasting (using Vyatka river case study). Shows that deterministic forecasts made using this approach are more accurate that more traditional ones based on regression. Compares probabilistic methods of forecasting spring flood volume and maximum discharge based on various uses of weather ensemble setting, and estimates reliability of results obtained.
Notes:

Meteorologii︠a︡ i Gidrologii︠a︡. Vol. 2 :54-67 (2009).

English translation in Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2009, vol. 34(2), pp. 100-109.

Keywords: 551.32 -- Glaciology.
551.579 -- Hydrometeorology.
551.579.2 -- Water supply from snow.
556 -- Hydrology.
551.5 -- Meteorology.
551.578.46 -- Snow cover and snow patches.
627.51 -- Floods.
551.509.3 -- Weather forecasting, bases and methods.
519.673 -- Modelling.
556.51/.54 -- Rivers and streams: Vyatka.
519.2 -- Statistical methods.
E10 -- Glaciology: snow and avalanches.
(*501) -- Russia (Federation).
(*531.6) -- Respublika Komi.
SPRI record no.: 191541

MARCXML

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035 ## ‡aSPRI-191541
040 ## ‡aUkCU-P‡beng‡eaacr
041 0# ‡arus
100 1# ‡6880-01‡aKuchment, L. S.
242 12 ‡aA study of effectiveness of the ensemble long-term forecasts of spring floods issued with physically based models of the river runoff formation.‡yeng
245 10 ‡6880-02‡aIssledovanie ėffektivnosti ansamblebykh dolgosrochnykh prognozov vesennego polovodʹi︠a︡ osnovannykh na fiziko-matematicheskikh modeli︠a︡kh formirovanii︠a︡ rechnogo stoka /‡cL.S. Kuchment, A.N. Gelʹfan.
260 ## ‡a[S.l.] :‡b[s.n.],‡c2009.
300 ## ‡ap. 54-67 :‡bill., diags., tables.
500 ## ‡aMeteorologii︠a︡ i Gidrologii︠a︡. Vol. 2 :54-67 (2009).
500 ## ‡aEnglish translation in Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2009, vol. 34(2), pp. 100-109.
520 3# ‡aExamines use of physical-mathematical model of runoff formation to increase effectiveness and assess uncertainty of long-term ensemble spring flood forecasting (using Vyatka river case study). Shows that deterministic forecasts made using this approach are more accurate that more traditional ones based on regression. Compares probabilistic methods of forecasting spring flood volume and maximum discharge based on various uses of weather ensemble setting, and estimates reliability of results obtained.
546 ## ‡aIn Russian.
546 ## ‡aRussian transliteration entered into original records using BGN/PCGN 1947 romanisation of Russian; Cyrillic text in MARC 880 field(s) reverse transliterated from this by automated process; BGN/PCGN 1947 text then upgraded to Library of Congress romanisation.
650 07 ‡a551.32 -- Glaciology.‡2udc
650 07 ‡a551.579 -- Hydrometeorology.‡2udc
650 07 ‡a551.579.2 -- Water supply from snow.‡2udc
650 07 ‡a556 -- Hydrology.‡2udc
650 07 ‡a551.5 -- Meteorology.‡2udc
650 07 ‡a551.578.46 -- Snow cover and snow patches.‡2udc
650 07 ‡a627.51 -- Floods.‡2udc
650 07 ‡a551.509.3 -- Weather forecasting, bases and methods.‡2udc
650 07 ‡a519.673 -- Modelling.‡2udc
650 07 ‡a556.51/.54 -- Rivers and streams: Vyatka.‡2udc
650 07 ‡a519.2 -- Statistical methods.‡2udc
650 07 ‡aE10 -- Glaciology: snow and avalanches.‡2local
651 #7 ‡a(*501) -- Russia (Federation).‡2udc
651 #7 ‡a(*531.6) -- Respublika Komi.‡2udc
700 1# ‡6880-03‡aGelʹfan, A. N.
773 0# ‡6880-04‡7nnas ‡tMeteorologii︠a︡ i Gidrologii︠a︡. ‡gVol. 2 (2009) ‡wSPRI-26968
880 1# ‡6100-01/(N‡aКучмент, Л. С.
880 10 ‡6245-02/(N‡aИсследование эффективности ансамблебых долгосрочных прогнозов весеннего половодья основанных на физико-математических моделях формирования речного стока /‡cЛ.С. Кучмент, А.Н. Гельфан.
880 1# ‡6700-03/(N‡aГельфан, А. Н.
880 0# ‡6773-04/(N‡7nnas ‡tМетеорология и Гидрология. ‡gVol. 2 (2009) ‡wSPRI-26968
916 ## ‡a2010/05/30 -- RF
917 ## ‡aUnenhanced record from Muscat, imported 2019
948 3# ‡a20220925 ‡bRF